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2020-05-13 | 公共電視

Economic Recovery After COVID-19 is Like a Nike Swoosh|外媒預測 疫情過後經濟將呈現"勾型

Taiwan's economic situation after the pandemic may be shaped like the Nike swoosh logo, with a long and slow recovery period, says National Development Minister Chen Mei-ling. On the other hand, some officials are confident Taiwan's GDP growth will be at least one percent this year.

Raise your hand if you don't know if you're keeping your post.

Rumors are flying about the upcoming Cabinet reshuffle, and current Cabinet officials are keeping a low profile. However, they all seem to be singing the same tune when it comes to this year's GDP growth rate.

Taiwan should be able to achieve a GDP growth rate of at least one percent, no problem. We remain confident about current development trends.

Although Cabinet officials are confident Taiwan's GDP growth rate will be at least 1 percent this year, foreign media and economists say a slow, Nike "swoosh"-shaped recovery is more likely than a rapid "V"-shaped recovery. National Development Minister Chen Mei-ling said on the 13th Taiwan could be facing a slow and difficult recovery period.

This Nike-shaped recovery you're talking about -- are you sticking with that? The current pandemic is definitely having a major impact, so many international research institutions are keeping forecasts conservative or not issuing any economic forecasts for the next four or five years at all.

The Ministry of Economic Affairs declined to answer questions on when the Executive Yuan's stimulus vouchers would finally be distributed, saying only that an announcement could come soon.

國民黨立委 曾銘宗表示:「不確定留不留任的請舉手!」

內閣改組消息滿天飛,各部會主管都很低調,對於人事異動、三緘其口,但對於今年經濟成長率是否能保一,倒是很有默契。

國民黨立委 曾銘宗 vs.主計長 朱澤民表示:「經濟成長率保一有沒有問題,就目前的這個發展趨勢的話,我們還是有信心。」

雖然對於今年GDP保一信心滿滿,不過,外國媒體、經濟研究機構紛紛改口,認為新冠肺炎疫情過後,不再是急速反彈的V型復甦,而是可能出現類似耐吉"Nike"商標的''勾型''復甦。國發會主委 陳美伶也認為表示,疫情過後,"勾型''復甦可能性不小,國內經濟大幅衰退後,很可能歷經一段艱難且緩慢的復原期。

國民黨立委 曾銘宗 vs. 國發會主委 陳美伶表示:「 (你那個Nike型的復甦,您還堅持這樣的看法嗎?) 這一次的疫情,確實是影響非常的大,所以很多的國際研究機構,其實都趨於保守,甚至都不太敢去預估,未來四年到五年的整個的經濟狀況。」

隨著疫情趨於穩定,國內即將振興階段,行政院近期表示"振興券",已進入收尾階段,至於何時發放,經濟部低調不願透漏,不過強調,就等政院拍板、指揮中心決定近期就會公布。

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